I asked a biased sample of people what they think the electorate will look in 2016, here's what I learned.

“It all comes down to turnout” is a phrase uttered by countless analysts, pundits, and armchair elections quarterbacks alike. Over 4 days from September 30th to October 4th I surveyed the views of 400 non-random people a few questions about who they thought would vote in 2016 by pushing them to take a survey on the Survey Monkey platform. The goal here is not to ask a representative sample of individuals anything but hoping that the group of people interested in taking the survey have some insights into something that we won’t really have a great understanding of until voter files update with turnout records or at least the Census reports on voter turnout come out in the coming months.

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Extra Graphs

I got more than a few questions about how this looks like for other candidates so I figure I would put up the full sets of graphs that come from this analysis here for both the full Republican field as well as the full Democratic field.

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